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"post": "Great question Mason.\r\n\r\nI would just like to note that the rules listed here are not definitive rules that I advocate in any trading.\r\n\r\nThey are simply a set of rules that come out of the simulation and back-testing of a simple trend following system that we developed a few months back. \r\n\r\nAnother set of rules could easily be superior. You would need to follow the methods we talked about in the [series on Systems](https://www.pagoolabs.com/stories/43/2017/10/24/trading-systems-part-1-introduction/) and the following stories. It is important to test the strategy you want to use and under which conditions it has worked in the past. The past is no guarantee that the future will work the same way, but if it has never worked in the past you are unlikely to remain confident in the trades you place.\r\n\r\nNever move from demo to live trading until your demo account is consistently profitable. The longer the better, especially if the demo period contains a couple of major market events that have the potential to ruin accounts. If you can survive when others are losing then you are on the way to profitable trading.",
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"submit_date": "2018-01-15T04:04:15Z",
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"post": "I completely agree.\r\n\r\nBut we have to start with little steps first and then work our way up to full fledged machine learning. When we get to machine learning, we need a good feel for the characteristics we will put into the training step.\r\n\r\nThe idea here is that we can all see the big picture: the choice of trend and use of signals within the trend to place our trades. \r\n\r\nWith Metatrader and the APIs provided by brokers such as Interactive Brokers and TradeStation, it will be possible to extract much better information out of the data that will help us determine trend and signals.",
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"submit_date": "2017-12-02T05:57:14Z",
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"post": "I could have made the difference between timezone and timeframe clearer in the story above. They are completely different animals that share a similar name.\r\n\r\n**Timezones** are the [north to south slices of planet Earth](https://www.timeanddate.com/time/map/) that share the same time offset from UTC. So the EST timezone in the USA is currently five hours behind UTC. All points within that timezone share the same wallclock time.\r\n\r\n**Timeframes** on the other hand refer to the time represented by candlestick bars on trading charts. When a bar collects all the trades over a 5 minute time interval we say the chart is displaying the 5min timeframe (M5). The start of that timeframe is the open, the end of the timeframe is the close, the highest price printed in the five minutes is the high and so on. Similarly for the four hour (H4) timeframe which summarizes the OHLC bars over the four hours.\r\n\r\nTimeframes are important in the story above only because some timeframes, such as M5, are immune to which timezone the trader is in while other timeframes, such as the daily, are very much affected by when the timezone starts its day.",
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"submit_date": "2017-11-09T12:04:41Z",
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"post": "A story focusing on Forex is high on the agenda. Keep a look out!",
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"submit_date": "2017-11-03T05:53:11Z",
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